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Sept.
1, 2006
-- There is the truth about the U.S. workforce. And then there
is a deeper -- and troubling -- truth.
The truth, according to the U.S. Labor
Department, is that the nation created about 5.3 million net
new jobs between August 2003 and May of this year, more than
all the jobs Europe and Japan together created during the same
period. Overall U.S. unemployment remains relatively low at
4.8%. This year's college graduates found themselves in the
most positive job market in five years.
The deeper and troubling truth is
that much of U.S. manufacturing is faring far less well. U.S.
manufacturing has lost nearly 3 million jobs since January 2001.
Many are gone for good. What's more, such emerging manufacturing
sectors as biotechnology and nanotechnology -- along with such
established and restructured manufacturing sectors as aerospace,
autos, steel and textiles -- require fewer production people
than did the dominant industries of the past. Some domestic
jobs -- estimates range from a few hundred thousand to the low
millions -- have moved offshore as manufacturers have sought
lower-cost labor and shortened the supply chains that link them
to foreign customers. Some domestic jobs have disappeared as
manufacturers have dropped secondary product lines to concentrate
on core businesses. Some domestic jobs have been eliminated
in the wake of corporate mergers. That said, more than 14 million
people, greater than the combined populations of Virginia and
Massachusetts, the U.S.'s 12th and 13th most populous states,
remain in the U.S. manufacturing workforce, nearly 10.2 million
of them in production jobs.
Arguably
the most significant challenge confronting U.S. manufacturers,
from metal makers and metal benders to the most sophisticated
biotechnology companies, is that many of those workers may not
be up to the job. There appears to be a widening gap between
the supply of qualified workers and the demands of modern manufacturing,
a gap, contends a recent benchmark study, that is making it
more difficult for U.S. manufacturers to achieve production
goals, increase productivity and meet customer needs.
Ninety percent of manufacturers reported
moderate to severe shortages of qualified skilled production
employees, relates last November's American workforce study
conducted by the Manufacturing Institute, the research arm of
the Washington, D.C.-based National Association of Manufacturers
(NAM), and Deloitte Consulting LLP. Sixty-five percent of the
manufacturers surveyed reported moderate to severe shortages
of scientists and engineers. And 39% reported moderate to severe
shortages of qualified unskilled production employees. "This
human capital performance gap threatens our nation's ability
to compete in today's fast-moving and increasingly demanding
global economy," the study warns.
A shortage of skilled workers remains
a daily reality among manufacturers. Two-thirds (68%) of the
people responding to an online IW poll earlier this year reported
a severe shortage of skilled workers. Less than one-fifth --
18% -- said the supply of skilled workers had never left them
shorthanded.
"If our country is to remain
competitive, the issues of education and training reform now
must be given at least as much focus as top business concerns
of trade, tax, energy and regulatory reform," insists the
NAM/Deloitte workforce study. Yet, there has been precious little
serious attention paid to worker skills in manufacturing during
the 10 months since the report was released.
Will manufacturing workers without
sufficient skills, as once was said of the poor, always be with
us? Has more than a generation of well-intentioned training
and development programs in both the private and public sectors
of the world's largest economy largely failed, a failure that
cannot be written off as just bad luck? Both are among the several
critical questions that must be asked and answered if manufacturers
are to meet today's workforce challenges, including the biggest
question of all: Is there a future for America's manufacturing
workforce?
"The challenges we face aren't
the kind that can be ridden out," Ron Gettelfinger, president
of the United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement
Workers of America (UAW), bluntly told the union's convention
in June. "They're structural challenges, and they require
new and farsighted solutions."
Stark Differences
The working world of U.S. manufacturing
is starkly different in 2006 from what it was a generation ago.
As a proliferation of trade agreements and dramatic growth in
foreign direct investment underscore, the world is far more
economically interconnected and interdependent now than then.
In just the past 10 years, the market share of U.S. operations
of European and Asian automakers has advanced to more than 22%
from less than 15%. Today, only two manufacturers, Chicago-based
Boeing Co. and Toulouse, France-based Airbus SAS, are left to
battle for dominance in the world's large-commercial-aircraft
skies. In only the past five years, China and India have achieved
almost mythic status as multibillion-dollar markets and lower-cost
manufacturing sites. Wireless technology is changing the ways
companies communicate with suppliers and customers, and other
technologies have helped make factories leaner and meaner centers
of competition.
Examine the U.S. Labor Department's
job numbers for each September of the past 10 years and you'll
see U.S. manufacturing employment peaked at 18.7 million in
September 1998. This September, manufacturing employment is
14.2 million, 4.5 million workers fewer than eight years ago.
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The Shrinking Workforce
Number of Manufacturing Workers
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Source:
U.S. Labor Department. Figures are for September of
each year, with the exception of 2006, for which the
most recent figure is for July.
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The percentage of manufacturing workers belonging to unions
also has been going down. It's now about 13%, roughly one-third
of what it was a generation ago. Gittelfinger's UAW has seen
its membership plummet from its peak of 1.5 million in 1979
to fewer than 600,000 last year.
Some workforce problems of the past
persist, however. For example, manufacturing continues to have
an image problem -- although for some it seems to be less about
dirt, dust and the Rust Belt than about manufacturing's future
in America. Among high school and college graduates "there's
a real perception . . . that manufacturing is not going to be
in the States [over] the long term," says Brent Nolan,
vice president and COO of Integrated Performance Systems, a
Wylie, Texas-based manufacturer of printed circuit boards. Skilled
workers coming into his company tend to treat it as a way station
on the road to service-sector jobs. So when Nolan looks 10 to
15 years into the future, the picture "starts to get a
little bit scary" because there are no younger skilled
workers to replace those retiring.
Meanwhile, the picture of U.S. manufacturing
jobs as dirty, low-paying, menial and even dangerous has not
been erased. Add that image to post-recession layoffs, factory
closings and jobs sent to places beyond U.S. borders and it's
little wonder people ask: Why would anyone choose manufacturing
as a career?
National and statewide campaigns are
underway to lure workers into manufacturing by painting a different
and more accurate picture of clean, competitive-paying, highly
skilled jobs that have futures. Notable this year has been steelmaker
Nucor Corp.'s advertising campaign portraying its workers as
vital, involved and savvy. "Interestingly enough, we've
found a way to become more competitive in the world by paying
our employees more. Instead of less. It's called pay-for-performance,"
reads one of the ads. Still, recruiting for manufacturing isn't
easy, confirms Phyllis Eisen, vice president of the NAM's Manufacturing
Institute and executive director of its Center for Workforce
Success. "Every industry is out there trying to get this
new, young, highly skilled generation, and we have to make sure
they want to come to manufacturing," she says. "We
have an uphill battle because the stereotypes are so deep
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